Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

January 29, 2020

Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak.

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  • Researchers modeled confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV in mainland China from Jan 10-Jan 24. They estimated an R0 of 2.24-3.35. 

Zhao et al. (Jan 29, 2020). Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak. Pre-Print. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395