Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

January 30, 2020

Potential of large ‘first generation’ human-to-human transmission of 2019-nCoV

Category:

Topic:

  • A Wuhan-based research team studied the genetic diversity, origin, and evolution of the 2019-nCoV outbreak in china and Thailand (Bangkok) using likelihood-mapping and phylogenetic analysis. They estimate that the common ancestor of the virus originated in Wuhan on November 9, 2019 (95% CI: Sep 25-Dec 19. 2019). There is some evidence that super-spreaders may have driven transmission early in the outbreak.

Li et al. (Jan 30, 2020). Potential of large ‘first generation’ human-to-human transmission of 2019-nCoV. J Med Virology. doi: 10.1002/jmv.25693