Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

January 30, 2020

Risk of 2019 novel coronavirus importations throughout China prior to the Wuhan quarantine

Category:

Topic:

  • Using ground, rail, and air travel data, researchers estimated the risk of 2019-nCoV exportation from Wuhan to other Chinese cities prior to the enforced quarantine in Wuhan. Among other findings, the model identified several high-risk cities (due to transportation patterns) throughout China currently have undetected cases. 

Du et al. (Jan 30, 2020). Risk of 2019 novel coronavirus importations throughout China prior to the Wuhan quarantine. Pre-Print. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.28.20019299v1