Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

January 31, 2020

Beware of asymptomatic transmission: Study on 2019-nCoV prevention and control measures based on extended SEIR model

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  • Researchers constructed a model to assess the effectiveness of three control measures (isolation of ill persons, restricted human mobility, and improving treatment) at reducing the spread of the outbreak. Findings suggest that public health interventions that restrict movement remain necessary, particularly if asymptomatic transmission is widespread (which has yet to be determined).

Shao and Shan (Jan 28, 2020). Beware of asymptomatic transmission: Study on 2019-nCoV prevention and control measures based on extended SEIR model. Pre Print. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.28.923169v1.full.pdf