Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

February 5, 2020

Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases

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  • DeSalazar, et al. use air travel volume estimates out of Wuhan to identify countries that may have undetected cases. Their primary findings indicate the Indonesia likely has undetected cases; and that Cambodia and Thailand may have an undercount of cases. Improved public health surveillance is recommended for these countries. 

DeSalazar, et al. (Feb 5, 2020). Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases. Pre-Print downloaded on 5 Feb, 2020 from, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.04.20020495v1