February 7, 2020

Epidemic doubling time of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak by province in mainland China

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Modeling and Prediction

• Researchers estimated the epidemic doubling time of the outbreak by province in mainland China. From Jan 20 – Feb 2, doubling time ranged from 1.0 day to 3.3 days, with Hubei estimated at 2.4 days. Social distancing measures appear to have been successful in slowing but not stopping epidemic growth.

Muniz-Rodriguez et al. (Feb 6, 2020). Epidemic doubling time of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak by province in mainland China. Pre Print downloaded Feb 7 from: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.05.20020750v2