Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

February 7, 2020

Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against introductions of 2019-nCoV

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  • Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries for the potential importation of 2019-nCoV is evaluated. They use air travel data from affected Chinese provinces, the WHO International Health Regulation and Monitoring and Evaluation Framework, and the Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index. 
  • Countries with the highest risk of importation tended to have moderate to high response capacity while those with moderate risk had varying capacity and generally high vulnerability. Specific maps illustrating importation, population density, and capacity and vulnerability factors are provided.

Gilbert et al. (Feb 7, 2020). Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against introductions of 2019-nCoV. Pre Print downloaded Feb 7 from: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.05.20020792v1