Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

February 10, 2020

Incorporating Human Movement Data to Improve Epidemiological Estimates for 2019-nCoV

Category:

Topic:

  • Researchers developed a geo-stratified framework for estimating 2019-nCoV transmission dynamics in China, addressing underreporting and under-screening biases affecting Wuhan case counts. They estimate a basic reproductive number of 3.24 in Wuhan before the lockdown on Jan 23.

Cao et al. (Feb 9, 2020). Incorporating Human Movement Data to Improve Epidemiological Estimates for 2019-nCoV. Pre Print downloaded Feb 9 from https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021071v1