Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

February 19, 2020

Evaluating new evidence in the early dynamics of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China with real time domestic traffic and potential asymptomatic transmissions

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  • Using information from evacuees from Wuhan and domestic traffic, authors explore the early dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak and the potential role of asymptomatic transmission. The study did not find strong evidence of asymptomatic transmission but does not rule it out. Additional model findings are described. 

Zhou (Feb 18, 2020). Evaluating new evidence in the early dynamics of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China with real time domestic traffic and potential asymptomatic transmissions. Pre-print downloaded Feb 19 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.15.20023440