February 26, 2020

Characterizing the transmission and identifying the control strategy for COVID-19 through epidemiological modeling

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions

• Predictive modelling and simulations were used to evaluate different control strategies used to limit COVID-19 transmission. The most effective appears to be comprehensive quarantine in hospitals and quarantine stations. Ineffective quarantine efforts on the Diamond Princess Cruise ship and the initial cluster of cases tied to the Huanan Seafood Market underscore the importance of implementing sound control measures, including eliminating crowded gatherings. Incomplete home isolation may be driving ongoing disease transmission in Wuhan, along with spread in clinic lines and within families. 

Zhou et al. (Feb 25, 2020). Characterizing the transmission and identifying the control strategy for COVID-19 through epidemiological modeling. Pre-print downloaded Feb 26 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.24.20026773