March 9, 2020

Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions for containing the COVID-19 outbreak: an observational and modelling study

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Modeling and Prediction

• Lai et al used the SEIR model to estimate effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) for containing the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Their estimates were highly correlated with the reported incidence, and the authors report that without the NPI, the number of COVID-19 cases would likely have been around 67 times higher. The effectiveness of early detection and isolation of cases, travel restrictions, and social distancing intervention are discussed in details

 Lai et al. (Mar 6, 2020). Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions for containing the COVID-19 outbreak: an observational and modelling study. Pre-print downloaded Mar 9 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.03.20029843