Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

March 9, 2020

The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China

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  • Kraemer and team used real-time human mobility data from Wuhan and detailed case data including travel history to predict the spread and growth rate of epidemics in China. They state that the spread of COVID-19 in China was driven by human mobility out of Wuhan early on and mitigated substantially by drastic control measures implemented since the end of January.

Kraemer et al. (March 6, 2020). The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Pre-print downloaded Mar 9 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.02.20026708.