Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

March 30, 2020

Evaluating the effectiveness of social distancing interventions against.

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  • Matrajt and Leung used a mathematical model to investigate the effectiveness of social distancing interventions lasting six weeks in a middle-sized city in the US. Their results suggest that social distancing interventions can avert cases by 20% and hospitalizations and deaths by 90% as long as the intervention is kept in place, but noted that the epidemic will rebound once the intervention is lifted. Social distancing interventions buy crucial time, but must occur in conjunction with testing and contact tracing of all suspected cases to mitigate transmission of SARS-CoV-2.

Matrajt and Leung. (Mar 27, 2020). Evaluating the effectiveness of social distancing interventions against. Pre-print downloaded Mar 30 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20044891