Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

April 13, 2020

Method for Active Pandemic Curve Management (MAPCM)



  • A new technique, the method for active pandemic curve management (MAPCM), uses a quasi-open-loop control method to shape the outbreak curve of SARS-CoV-2 spread in a population. This method may make it possible to keep hospitalizations within available healthcare capacity without sacrificing lives while keeping the economy moving. He reports that better results can be achieved using this method than imposing mitigation by itself, and concludes that this method is promising if implemented early enough in outbreak cycle.

Odendaal. (April 6 2020).  Method for Active Pandemic Curve Management (MAPCM). Pre-print downloaded Apr 13, from