Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

April 17, 2020

Public Policy and economic dynamics of COVID-19 spread: a mathematical modeling study

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  • In order to assess the impact of quarantine measures on deaths, hospitalizations and economic output, this modeling study that looked at various scenarios founds that when quarantine is quickly lifted, a second outbreak takes place, whereas strict restrictions on seniors combined with gradual lifting of quarantine for the general population resulted in a limited number of deaths and lesser economic damage. The authors recommend this strategy to control the pandemic while making quarantine economically viable.  

Goldsztejn et al. (Apr 17, 2020). Public Policy and economic dynamics of COVID-19 spread: a mathematical modeling study. Pre-print downloaded Apr 17 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.13.20062802