Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

April 28, 2020

Impact of temperature on the dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in China

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  • This study examines the relationship between daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and temperature using data from 31 provincial regions in China.  The authors’ model showed a significant decrease in incidence with temperatures above 46-50⁰F. This suggests that temperature played an important role in the outbreak of COVID-19 in China, and may be useful in predicting the potential spread of COVID-19 in other geographic areas.

Shi et al. (April 2020). Impact of temperature on the dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in China. Sci Total Environ. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138890