May 19, 2020

Empirical Model of Spring 2020 Decrease in Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in King County Washington

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Modeling and Prediction

• The author estimates that the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in King County will decrease by 50% every 24.5 days (95% CI: 21.2 -28.8). Using this empirical model, the predicted number of daily incidentCOVID-19 cases in King County will be40 cases by May 24,and 20 cases by June 18, 2020.

Roach. (May18,2020). Empirical Model of Spring 2020 Decrease in Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in King County Washington. Pre-print downloaded May 19 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20098798