Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

May 29, 2020

Estimating the Size of High-Risk Populations for COVID-19 Mortality across 442 US Cities

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  • [pre-print, not peer reviewed] Jin et al. used a weighted risk-score to characterize the distribution of risk for COVID-19 mortality for populations across 442 large US cities and found that though 1.34 million individuals are at a 10-fold higher risk than the general population, the majority of deaths will still occur outside these high–risk groups. The authors suggest that targeted interventions for high–risk groups such as shielding do not fully substitute for broader community–level interventions such as social distancing. 

Jin et al. (May 29, 2020). Estimating the Size of High-Risk Populations for COVID-19 Mortality across 442 US Cities. Preprint downloaded May 29 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.27.20115170