Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

June 1, 2020

The Effectiveness and Perceived Burden of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions against COVID-19 Transmission a Modelling Study with 41 Countries

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  • [pre-print, not peer reviewed] Brauner et al. inferred the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions using data in 41 countries. Results suggest a surprisingly large role for schools in COVID-19 transmission (mean reduction in R: 58%. Additional interventions with good effectiveness-burden tradeoffs included limiting gatherings, closing high-risk businesses, and testing persons with symptoms. Closing most nonessential businesses and issuing stay-at-home orders were found to have a limited additional effect with a high perceived burden. 

Brauner et al. (May 30, 2020). The Effectiveness and Perceived Burden of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions against COVID-19 Transmission a Modelling Study with 41 Countries. Pre-print downloaded June 1 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.28.20116129