Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

June 9, 2020

Harnessing Multiple Models for Outbreak Management

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  • Given the disparity in predictions of various models pertaining to COVID-19 disease trajectories and intervention assessments, Shea et al. propose a systematic approach that employs expert elicitation methods and a decision-theoretic framework to minimize bias and account for within- and between- model uncertainty.  

Shea et al. (May 8, 2020). Harnessing Multiple Models for Outbreak Management. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb9934