Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

June 23, 2020

A Simplified Math Approach to Predict ICU Beds and Mortality Rate for Hospital Emergency Planning under Covid-19 Pandemic

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  • Manca et al. present a tool based on a simple model that can be used by physicians and decision makers to forecast bed allocation, residence time, doubling time, dates at which thresholds are exceeded, and other key indicators.  

Manca et al. (Sept 2020). A Simplified Math Approach to Predict ICU Beds and Mortality Rate for Hospital Emergency Planning under Covid-19 Pandemic. Computers & Chemical Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compchemeng.2020.106945