Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

July 2, 2020

Data From the COVID-19 Epidemic in Florida Suggest That Younger Cohorts Have Been Transmitting Their Infections to Less Socially Mobile Older Adults

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  • [pre-print, not peer reviewed] Daily incidence of newlyreported COVID-19 cases among adults aged 20-59 years and 60 years increased in 16 counties in Florida soon after the full Phase 1 reopening went into effect.  
  • The author coupled this analysis with results from an SIR model, which supports the hypothesis that younger persons, having first acquired their infections through increasing social contact with their peers, then transmitted their infections to older, less socially mobile individuals. 

Harris. (July 2, 2020). Data From the COVID-19 Epidemic in Florida Suggest That Younger Cohorts Have Been Transmitting Their Infections to Less Socially Mobile Older Adults. Pre-print downloaded July 2 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.30.20143842