Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

July 15, 2020

Impact of COVID-19 on 2020 US Life Expectancy for the Black and Latino Populations

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  • [Preprint, not peer-reviewed] Andrasfay and Goldman used COVID-19 projections produced by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and estimated a reduction in life expectancy at birth due to COVID-19 of greater than 1.5 years for Black and Latino populations, which is one year larger than the reduction for whites. This would be a 30% increase (from 3.6 to 4.7 years) in the Black-white gap in life expectancy. The survival advantage among Latinos would decline by 36%, equivalent to its magnitude in 2006. 

Andrasfay and Goldman. (July 14, 2020). Impact of COVID-19 on 2020 US Life Expectancy for the Black and Latino Populations. Pre-print downloaded July 15 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.12.20148387