Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness
July 27, 2020
Simulating the Effect of School Closure during COVID-19 Outbreaks in Ontario, Canada
Category: Article Summary
Topic: Modeling and Prediction
- Using an age-structured agent-based model parametrized with demographics from Ontario, Canada, Abdollahi et al. found that increasing the duration of school closures from 3 to 16 weeks reduced the COVID-19 attack rate by 7%-13% when contacts among school children were restricted by 60-80%. Adding varying degrees of voluntary social isolation among mildly symptomatic persons further reduced the attack rate.
Abdollahi et al. (July 24, 2020). Simulating the Effect of School Closure during COVID-19 Outbreaks in Ontario, Canada. BMC Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01705-8