Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

July 29, 2020

Magnitude Demographics and Dynamics of the Impact of the First Phase of the Covid-19 Pandemic on All-Cause Mortality in 17 Industrialised Countries

Category:

Topic:

  • [pre-print, not peer-reviewed] Kontis et al. modeled the impacts of the first phase of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality for 17 industrialized countries. From mid-February through the end of May 2020, an estimated 202,900 (95%CI 179,400-224,900) more people died in these 17 countries than were expected had the pandemic not occurred. After accounting for population size, England and Wales and Spain experienced the largest relative increase in deaths, with 37% (95%CI 30-44) in England and Wales and 38% (95%CI 31-44) in Spain).  

Kontis et al. (July 28, 2020). Magnitude Demographics and Dynamics of the Impact of the First Phase of the Covid-19 Pandemic on All-Cause Mortality in 17 Industrialised Countries. Pre-print downloaded July 29 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.26.20161570