Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

November 3, 2020

Disentangling Community-Level Changes in Crime Trends during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Chicago

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Analysis of the impact of COVID-19 containment policies on crime across 77 communities in the Chicago area report mixed findings. Burglaries, assaults, narcotics-related offenses, and robberies had a statistical reduction only in 13%, 23%, 45%, and 13% of communities, respectively. The prevalence of COVID-19 infections was not found to have any association with crime levels, although certain health-related demographic variables, such as age, were associated with significant reductions of crime.

Campedelli et al. (Oct 27, 2020). Disentangling Community-Level Changes in Crime Trends during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Chicago. Crime Science. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-020-00131-8