Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

December 16, 2020

Global, Regional, and National Estimates of Target Population Sizes for Covid-19 Vaccination: Descriptive Study

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A descriptive study of target populations for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination among member states of the WHO found that target population sizes vary by vaccination goal and geographic region. Europe has a high share of essential workers (63 million, 9%) and people with underlying conditions (266 million, 37%) who may be important to vaccinate to maintain societal function and reduce severe COVID-19 cases. Southeast Asia has a high proportion of healthy adults (775.5 million, 59%) that may be key targets for vaccination to reduce community transmission. The study highlights that based on a literature review, 68% of the global population would be willing to receive the vaccine, which translates to about 3.7 billion adults. 

Wang et al. (Dec 15, 2020). Global, Regional, and National Estimates of Target Population Sizes for Covid-19 Vaccination: Descriptive Study. BMJ. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m4704