February 18, 2021

Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce COVID-19 Transmission in a Large Urban Jail: A Model-Based Analysis

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Modeling and Prediction

Keywords (Tags): public health

A transmission model calibrated to an outbreak in a large urban US jail estimated that R₀ for the first outbreak phase was as high as 8.44. Non-pharmaceutical interventions including reducing the size of the jail population (depopulation), single celling, and asymptomatic testing reduced R₀ to 0.58 by day 37, preventing approximately 83% of the projected cases, hospitalizations, and deaths over 83 days.

Malloy et al. (Feb 17, 2021). Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce COVID-19 Transmission in a Large Urban Jail: A Model-Based Analysis. BMJ Open. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042898