Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

March 16, 2020

Estimating Risk for Death from 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020

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  • In order to assess the severity of COVID-19 in China, the authors estimated the risk for death in Wuhan to be as high as 12% and about 1% in other more mildly affected areas. This study indicates that public health interventions, including social distancing and movement restrictions, should be implemented to bring the COVID-19 epidemic under control. 

Mizumoto & Chowell (Mar 16, 2020). Estimating Risk for Death from 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020. Emerg Infect Dis. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2606.200233