Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

May 21, 2020

How Large Was the Mortality Increase Directly and Indirectly Caused by the COVID-19 Epidemic? An Analysis on All-Causes Mortality Data in Italy

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  • Magnani et al. estimated an excess of 45,033 deaths in Italy, compared to 21,046 reported deaths associated with COVID-19. Relative to the expected number of deaths during the study period, the estimated excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic was 11% for people under the age of 60, and 55% for people age 60 and older. 

Magnani et al. (May 15, 2020). How Large Was the Mortality Increase Directly and Indirectly Caused by the COVID-19 Epidemic? An Analysis on All-Causes Mortality Data in Italy. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17103452