Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

June 2, 2020

Modelling Testing Frequencies Required for Early Detection of a SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak on a University Campus

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  • [pre-print, not peer reviewed] Martin et al. modeled transmission on a university campus and conclude that testing frequency of 100% of a campus population per month is required to detect an outbreak when there are fewer than 9 detectable infections. A greater numbers of symptomatic people reporting to health services for testing could help compensate for lower levels of testing. Adding a 10% pre-existing immunity to the model showed little difference in results.  

Martin et al. (June 1, 2020). Modelling Testing Frequencies Required for Early Detection of a SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak on a University Campus. Preprint downloaded June 2 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20118885