Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

July 6, 2020

Chopping the Tail: How Preventing Superspreading Can Help to Maintain COVID-19 Control

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  • [Preprint, not peer-reviewed] An SEIR model for the COVID-19 epidemic that incorporates time-varying impacts of non-pharmaceutical interventions in Los Angeles and Santa Clara County, Seattle, Miami, and Atlanta shows that the first-wave interventions in mid-March, 2020 of eliminating large social gatherings, mandated mask-wearing and physical distancing have affected the heterogeneity in transmission rates by eliminating high-risk events. 

Kain et al. (July 3, 2020). Chopping the Tail: How Preventing Superspreading Can Help to Maintain COVID-19 Control. Pre-print downloaded July 6 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.30.20143115