Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

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Tag: schools modeling


February 9, 2021

Modelling the Impact of Reopening Schools in Early 2021 in the Presence of the New SARS-CoV-2 Variant and with Roll-out of Vaccination against COVID-19

[Pre-print, not peer-reviewed] An existing transmission model calibrated to the UK (Covasim) calculated that a full national lockdown until April 2021, including school closures, could lower the effective reproduction number R below 1 by March 2021 when combined with a vaccination campaign capable of 200,000 daily doses targeted to elderly people. The model incorporated the…