Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

September 2, 2020

Potential Community and Campus Covid-19 Outcomes Under University and College Reopening Scenarios

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  • [Preprint, not peer reviewed] A modeling study of various US college and university reopening plans (various fully open, hybrid, and fully virtual approaches) shows common reopening strategies could reduce student SARS-CoV-2 infections by 24%-26% and deaths by 36%-50%. Perfect testing and immediate quarantining of all students on arrival to campus at the start of term could further reduce infections by 58%-95% and deaths by 95%-100%. All scenarios were simulated assuming best/worst case ranges for disease prevalence among community residents and arriving students, precaution compliance, contact frequency, virus attack rates, and tracing and isolation effectiveness.

Benneyan et al. (Sept 2, 2020). Potential Community and Campus Covid-19 Outcomes Under University and College Reopening Scenarios. Preprint downloaded Sep 2 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.29.20184366