Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

September 15, 2020

Simulating Phase Transitions and Control Measures for Network Epidemics Caused by Infections with Presymptomatic, Asymptomatic, and Symptomatic Stages

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  • In a model considering asymptomatic, presymptomatic, and symptomatic transmission, the level of viral shedding was found to have the greatest impact on the total number of infections, followed by the probability of social distancing and individually initiated social isolation given a threshold number of infected contacts.

Braun et al. (Sept 10, 2020). Simulating Phase Transitions and Control Measures for Network Epidemics Caused by Infections with Presymptomatic, Asymptomatic, and Symptomatic Stages. PLOS ONE. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238412