Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

September 18, 2020

Assessing the Potential Impact of COVID-19 on Life Expectancy

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  • A 10% prevalence of COVID-19 over a year could decrease life expectancy at birth by more than 1 year in North America, while a 50% prevalence could drop it by 3 to 9 years, according to a modeling study. If prevalence remains below 1 or 2%, life expectancy is unlikely to be substantially affected.

Marois et al. (Sept 17, 2020). Assessing the Potential Impact of COVID-19 on Life Expectancy. PLOS ONE. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238678