September 25, 2020

Modeling between-population variation in COVID-19 dynamics in Hubei, Lombardy, and New York City

Category: Article Summary

Topic: Modeling and Prediction

Keywords (Tags): modeling prediction, public health

• A mathematical model suggests that targeted sheltering of specific age groups combined with adherence to physical distancing by the rest of the population may be sufficient to thwart a substantial fraction of infections and deaths. Physical distancing could be achieved by engaging in activities such as staggered work schedules, increasing spacing in restaurants and prescribing times to use the gym or grocery store.

Wilder et al. Modeling between-population variation in COVID-19 dynamics in Hubei, Lombardy, and New York City. PNAS. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2010651117