Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

October 1, 2020

Reductions in 2020 US Life Expectancy Due to COVID-19 and the Disproportionate Impact on the Black and Latino Populations

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  • [Preprint, not peer-reviewed] Black and Latino people in the US are estimated to have a reduction in life expectancy at birth due to COVID-19 of 2.7 and 3.7 years, respectively, both of which are larger than the 0.84-year reduction for white people. These projections imply a 50% increase (from 3.6 to 5.5 years) in the Black-white life expectancy gap, reversing 20 years of progress in reducing this disparity. The previous Latino survival advantage relative to whites would be reduced by 85%. These analyses used COVID-19 estimates made by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. [EDITORIAL NOTE: This article was previously summarized as a pre-print on July 15].

Andrasfay and Goldman. (Sept 15, 2020). Reductions in 2020 US Life Expectancy Due to COVID-19 and the Disproportionate Impact on the Black and Latino Populations. Preprint downloaded Oct 1 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.12.20148387