December 1, 2020
The Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 Outbreaks in the United States
Category: Article Summary
Topic: Modeling and Prediction
Keywords (Tags): modeling prediction
[Pre-print, not peer reviewed] In a model parametrized to US demographics and age-specific COVID-19 outcomes, vaccination with 40% coverage prioritizing healthcare workers and high-risk individuals and excluding children under 18 was shown to reduce the overall attack proportion from 7.1% to 1.6%. Vaccination also reduced adverse outcomes, with hospitalizations and deaths decreasing by 85% and 88%, respectively. Though they were accounted for in the model, the authors note that a vaccine uptake of 40% or lower would likely not eliminate the need for non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Moghadas et al. (Nov 30, 2020). The Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 Outbreaks in the United States. Pre-print downloaded Dec 1 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.27.20240051