Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

December 17, 2020

Estimating the Herd Immunity Threshold by Accounting for the Hidden Asymptomatics Using a COVID-19 Specific Model

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  • A model using data from Japan, Italy, France, and Switzerland that incorporates undetected asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection suggests herd immunity could be achieved when active symptomatic patients are 10-25% of the population, much lower than current estimates.

Kaushal et al. (Dec 16, 2020). Estimating the Herd Immunity Threshold by Accounting for the Hidden Asymptomatics Using a COVID-19 Specific Model. PLOS ONE.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242132