Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

September 29, 2020

Excess Risk of COVID-19 to University Populations Resulting from In-Person Sporting Events

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  • [Pre-print, not peer-reviewed] A modeling study using a stochastic compartmental model showed that in-person sporting events on college campuses could increase COVID-19 cases among the campus community. Even when COVID-19 cases were controlled both on-campus and among the larger population from which visitors to campus were drawn, such events presented a risk to the community. Depending on the scenario, and the prevalence of COVID-19, both on and off campus, the increase ranged from 25% to 822%.

Johnson et al. (Sept 28, 2020). Excess Risk of COVID-19 to University Populations Resulting from In-Person Sporting Events. Pre-print downloaded Sept 29 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.27.20202499