By 2050, the population of the central Puget Sound region is expected to grow by 1.5 million people to a total of 5.8 million. This project will evaluate several scenarios to illustrate how decisions about major transportation infrastructure investments and land use related to housing could affect the region by 2050. The researchers will look at the potential effects on the Puget Sound regional transportation system of major infrastructure investments that have either been identified or are in the early development stages. These include a third Puget Sound airport to complement SeaTac and Paine Field, I-5 lane expansion, ultra-high-speed rail from Oregon to British Columbia, and Amtrak Cascades passenger rail. They will also look at the effects of existing and potential housing zoning densities in Washington counties along the I-5 corridor. Scenarios will include evaluation of the travel times and costs for households and freight, as well as passenger air travel demand, cost, and availability. A holistic picture is needed for decision-makers to understand the tradeoffs and considerations for the future of Cascadia mobility. The results will provide decision makers and the public with a high-level understanding of major transportation needs and choices for the area’s 2050 population.

Principal Investigators:
Cecilia Aragon, Human Centered Design and Engineering, UW
Bart Treece, Mobility Innovation Center, UW
Ryan Avery, Washington State Transportation Center, UW

Sponsors:
WSDOT
King County
Challenge Seattle
Alaska Airlines
Microsoft
Boeing

WSDOT Technical Monitor: Ron Pate
WSDOT Project Manager: Jon Peterson
Scheduled completion: June 2025
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Analysis of electronic transit farecard data can provide insight into how travelers use the system and how their behavior changes as both the urban form and transit services change over time. It can be used to answer a variety of policy questions, ranging from the impacts of adopted policies on transit use, to the quantity and quality of trips taken, to the differences in transit services provided to neighborhoods of different income levels to determine the equity of transit services provided throughout the region.  The Next Generation One Regional Card for All (NG ORCA) effort includes the development and deployment of a database system called DARe (Data Access and Reporting), which is being used to collect, manage, and store data on the use of ORCA cards and accounts. However, to date transit agency analysts have not fully taken advantage of its reporting function. The UW has an ORCA data reporting system that currently houses data from January 2019 through May 2022. This project is funding continued improvements to the UW system.

Principal Investigator: Ryan Avery, Washington State Transportation Center, UW
Sponsor: King County Metro
Metro Technical Monitor: Melissa Gaughan
Scheduled completion: December 2025

Emerging technologies such as automated vehicles, advanced data analytics and machine learning, and on-demand ride services will not only fundamentally alter the transportation landscape but will provide new data that can be used for transportation planning and analysis. This project is examining the properties of these new data and identifying potential applications. Phase I developed a preliminary framework for integrating emerging and conventional data from diverse sources. Using the Seattle SR 99 Tunnel Tolling Project as a case study, Phase II began to demonstrate the value of emerging big data (more specifically, app-based data) and their fusion with data from other, conventional sources in evaluating a project’s impact on transportation system performance and in answering critical and time-sensitive planning and policy-related questions. This continuation of Phase II will focus on investigating other potential future data sources, such as transportation network companies, insurance providers, and automakers, and on sharing methodologies created for data processing, origin/destination estimation, and validation. The researchers will make all work open source in order to help state, regional, and local agencies better coordinate among agencies and with data providers.

Principal Investigators:
Jeff Ban, Civil and Environmental Engineering, UW
Cynthia Chen, Civil and Environmental Engineering, UW

Sponsor: WSDOT
WSDOT Technical Monitor: Natarajan Janarthanan
WSDOT Project Manager: Doug Brodin
Scheduled completion: December 2023