ICONICS

Past Events

2022

Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures

https://www.scenariosforum.org/

20-22 June, 2022

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria

The Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures brings together a diverse set of communities who are using or developing scenarios for use in climate change and sustainability analysis to:

  • exchange experiences, ideas, and lessons learned;
  • identify opportunities for synergies and collaboration;
  • reflect on the use of scenarios; and
  • identify knowledge gaps for future research.

The Scenarios Forum is open to anyone using, developing, or interested in scenarios to carry out research or policy analysis related to climate change and sustainability. Abstract submissions are now being accepted (https://scenariosforum.org/abstracts/), through 14 February 2022. A call for meeting participation will follow later.

The research community has proposed more than 50 sessions for the Scenarios Forum 2022, to which abstracts can now be submitted. Sessions formats include Research Sessions to which abstracts for research presentations can be submitted, or Workshop Sessions, focusing on discussing a specific topic, to which shorter panel contributions can be submitted.

The Scenario Forum 2022 is presented by the International Committee on New Integrated Climate Change Assessment Scenarios (ICONICS) and the hosted by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). For any further queries, please do not hesitate to contact the Organizing Committee.

2019

Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures

Pardee Center Scenarios 2019

March 11-13, 2019
University of Denver, Denver, Colorado

Read the meeting report here.

A rapidly expanding set of activities is extending and applying the new framework on integrated climate change scenarios. Researchers are using Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), and other approaches to characterizing future societal and environmental conditions to investigate global change issues, including the Sustainable Development Goals. The Scenarios Forum aimed to bring together a diverse set of communities working with the new framework to share their experiences, progress, and plans. By taking stock of progress and facilitating scenario-related research, this meeting informed the use of scenarios in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) and helped ensure a research base sufficient to inform future assessments and policy initiatives.

The Forum was presented by the International Committee on New Integrated Climate Change Assessment Scenarios (ICONICS) and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.

2015

IPCC Expert Meeting on Scenarios

Start Date: Monday, May 18, 2015
End Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2015
Location: Laxenburg, Austria

The purpose of the meeting is to take stock of the achievements of the process during the IPCC AR5 (5th assessment report) cycle, to facilitate dialogue and share available information across scientific communities, and to discuss the possible role of scenarios in future IPCC products.

2014

AGU Session: Pattern Scaling and Other Climate Model Emulators: Strengths, Limitations and Relevance for Future Scenario Choices

Start Date: Monday, December 15, 2014
End Date: Friday, December 19, 2014
Location: 2896
Session Link: 2014 AGU Fall Meeting

Session ID#: 2896

Session Description

Researchers assessing the future impacts of climate change rely on projections of future climate conditions, but the number of scenarios that can be simulated by climate and earth system models is limited. Pattern scaling and climate model emulation has been presumed to be able to fill this gap, but it is unclear whether these approaches are up to the task. This session invites presentations by users and developers of emulation techniques in order to take stock of the current state of this research area and its most promising future directions. The goal is to provide guidance to impact modelers and to the design of climate model experiments in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), which would greatly benefit from the use of model emulation to fill gaps in its scenario coverage.

Co-Sponsor(s)

  • SI – Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences

Index Terms

1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]

Primary Convener:  Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States

Co-Convener:  Brian C O’Neill, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States

Workshop: Experimental design for CMIP6: Aerosol, land use and future scenarios

Start Date: Sunday, August 3, 2014
End Date: Friday, August 8, 2014
Location: Aspen, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop: Experimental design for CMIP6: Aerosol, land use and future scenarios

Workshop: Needs for Scenarios - Science, Assessments and Decision-makings

Start Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2014
End Date: Friday, August 1, 2014
Location: Snowmass, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop: Needs for Scenarios: Science, Assessments and Decision-Making

Pattern Scaling, Climate Model Emulators and their Application to the New Scenario Process

Start Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2014
End Date: Friday, April 25, 2014
Location: Boulder, CO, USA
Event URL: Pattern Scaling, Climate Model Emulators and their Application to the New Scenario Process

This workshop was held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and brought together the statistical, climate, integrated assessment and impact modeling communities. The main goals of the workshop were to:

    • Assess the current state of climate model emulator science
    • Assess to what extent current approaches can meet the needs of integrated assessment and impact modelers for climate change information
    • Identify and prioritize research directions so that these statistical methods can better meet the needs of applied research in the future.

View slides and recorded talks from the workshop, or read the final workshop report.

2013

AGU Session: Closing the Loop: Integrating Socio-Economic and Climate Scenarios in the Assessment of Global Change Impacts

Start Date: Thursday, December 12, 2013
End Date: Thursday, December 12, 2013
Location: San Francisco, CA, USA
Event URL: AGU Session: Closing the Loop: Integrating Socio-Economic and Climate Scenarios in the Assessment of Global Change Impacts

AGU Session: Closing the Loop: Integrating Socio-Economic and Climate Scenarios in the Assessment of Global Change Impacts

Start Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2013
End Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Location: San Francisco, CA, USA
Event URL: AGU Session: Closing the Loop: Integrating Socio-Economic and Climate Scenarios in the Assessment of Global Change Impacts

Workshop: Next generation of climate change experiments needed to advance knowledge and for assessment of CMIP6

Start Date: Sunday, August 4, 2013
End Date: Friday, August 9, 2013
Location: Aspen, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop:Next generation of climate change experiments needed to advance knowledge and for assessment of CMIP6

Workshop: Scenarios for Climate Research and Assessment

Start Date: Wednesday, July 31, 2013
End Date: Friday, August 2, 2013
Location: Snowmass, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop: Scenarios for Climate Research and Assessment

2012

Workshop: Progress toward the Development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Scenarios

Start Date: Wednesday, July 25, 2012
End Date: Wednesday, July 25, 2012
Location: Snowmass, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop: Progress toward the Development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Scenarios

Workshop: Meeting on the new Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Research

Start Date: Monday, May 14, 2012
End Date: Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Location: The Hague, Netherlands

Workshop: Technical workshop on quantification of core parameters for the SSPs

Start Date: Wednesday, January 25, 2012
End Date: Thursday, January 26, 2012
Location: Utrecht, Netherlands

2011

Workshop: The Nature and Use of New Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Research

Start Date: Wednesday, November 2, 2011
End Date: Friday, November 4, 2011
Location: Boulder, CO, USA
Event URL: Workshop: The Nature and Use of New Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Research

Workshop: Meeting on Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Start Date: Saturday, July 16, 2011
End Date: Sunday, July 17, 2011
Location: Changwon City, South Korea

2010

Workshop: Joint IPCC Workshop of Working Group III and II on Socioeconomic Scenarios for Climate Change Impact and Response Assessments

Start Date: Monday, November 1, 2010
End Date: Friday, Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Location: Berlin, Germany
Event URL: Workshop:Joint IPCC Workshop Working Group III & II on Socioeconomic Scenarios for Climate Change Impact & Response Assessments

Workshop: Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment

Start Date: Thursday, February 4, 2010
End Date: Friday, February 5, 2010
Location: Washington, DC, USA
Event URL: Workshop: Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment