Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

November 9, 2020

COVID-19 Wastewater Epidemiology A Model to Estimate Infected Populations

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[Preprint, not peer-reviewed] A susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) model based on composite wastewater samples from sewersheds tested for SARS-CoV-2 RNA (a method to estimate the number of infected individuals in a sewershed per day) in South Carolina during June-August 2020 estimated the unreported rate for COVID-19 was 12 times (95%CI 6-19) higher than the rate for confirmed cases identified for the same time period and geographic area. 

McMahan et al. (Nov 7, 2020). COVID-19 Wastewater Epidemiology A Model to Estimate Infected Populations. Pre-print downloaded Nov 9 from https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.05.20226738