Alliance for Pandemic Preparedness

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Tag: mortality


January 5, 2021

Accuracy of the Veterans Health Administration COVID-19 (VACO) Index for Predicting Short-Term Mortality among 1307 Yale New Haven Hospital Inpatients and 427224 Medicare Patients

[Pre-print, not peer reviewed] The Veterans Health Administration COVID-19 (VACO) Index was shown to accurately estimate risk of short-term mortality among a wide variety of patients. The index was validated using 1,307 Yale New Haven Hospital inpatients and over 420,000 Medicare patients and consistently identified those at greatest relative risk of death. The authors suggest…


December 18, 2020

COVID-19 as the Leading Cause of Death in the United States

By October 2020, COVID-19 had become the leading cause of death in the United States for people over age 35. In October 2020, COVID-19 had become the third leading cause of death for persons aged 45 through 84 years and the second leading cause of death for those aged 85 years or older. COVID-19 mortality…


November 9, 2020

Intergenerational Residence Patterns and Covid-19 Fatalities in the EU and the US

A study using aggregate data from 29 European countries and all 50 US states reported a positive correlation between intergenerational co-residence (age 18−34 years living with their parents) and COVID-19 mortality. On average, each additional percent increase in intergenerational co-residence was associated with a 3-4% increase in cumulative deaths from COVID-19 40-100 days following the…


October 22, 2020

The Confounded Crude Case-Fatality Rates (CFR) for COVID-19 Hide More than They Reveal—a Comparison of Age-Specific and Age-Adjusted CFRs between Seven Countries

A comparative analysis of the COVID-19 case-fatality rates (CFR) of seven countries suggests that age structure of cases could account for the wide variation of CFRs among countries. The crude country-level CFRs ranged from 0.82% (Israel) to 14.2% (Italy), resulting in a highest to lowest crude CFR ratio of 17.3. Meanwhile, the ratio of lowest…


October 21, 2020

Variation in Racial/Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19 Mortality by Age in the United States: A Cross-Sectional Study

Racial and ethnic disparities in COVID-19 mortality rates are particularly strong among younger people. A cross-sectional study reported that as of July 22, 2020, the age-standardized COVID-19 mortality ratios (compared to non-Hispanic white) were 3.6 for people who are non-Hispanic Black, 2.2 for those who are non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native, 2.2 for Hispanic people and…


October 1, 2020

Reductions in 2020 US Life Expectancy Due to COVID-19 and the Disproportionate Impact on the Black and Latino Populations

[Preprint, not peer-reviewed] Black and Latino people in the US are estimated to have a reduction in life expectancy at birth due to COVID-19 of 2.7 and 3.7 years, respectively, both of which are larger than the 0.84-year reduction for white people. These projections imply a 50% increase (from 3.6 to 5.5 years) in the…


September 3, 2020

Infection Fatality Ratios for COVID-19 Among Noninstitutionalized Persons 12 and Older: Results of a Random-Sample Prevalence Study

The overall infection fatality ratio (IFR) for the state of Indiana, excluding institutionalized persons and children under 12 years of age, was 0.3%. Stratifying the IFR across demographic groups resulted in an IFR of 0.01% among those <40 years of age, 1.7% among those ≥60 years of age, 0.2 among white patients, and 0.6% among…



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